Forecast discussion: An area of low pressure moved offshore and into the Atlantic on Thursday. This low will still influence our weather this weekend, but we will not see any storms for the first time in three weeks.
The surface low will slowly head towards the northeast, and into Newfoundland. But, due to the size of the low, moisture from this system will continue to remain over Southern New England. We may see a scattered snow shower in Providence tonight, along with some patchy fog, which should develop after midnight. For the next few days, an upper level low to our west will keep moisture rotating over New England into Monday. So, we may see an occasional snow or rain shower, but I would not call this weekend a washout.
The best chance for any precipitation may be on Tuesday evening. A weak surface low will develop from a surface trough, and this low may help create a few snow showers Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. I am not expecting anything more than a dusting to an inch at this time. Temperatures during the day will be between the upper 30’s to lower 40’s, with lows in the middle to upper 20’s.
I will be watching the computer models carefully the next few days, as a possible coastal storm forms out of the Southeast U.S. Tuesday evening. At this time, the American model takes the low far out to sea. The United Kingdom model only goes out to six days, but it also pushes the low southeast and south of the Tennessee River Valley. But, at this time, next Thursday appears to be mostly sunny and dry.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Cloudy with a scattered snow shower with a low of 33. Patchy fog is possible, especially after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a passing flurry or sprinkle and a high of 44. Winds will come from the north-northwest at 8-11 mph.
Friday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 30. Winds will come from the northwest at 3-6 mph.
Saturday: Partly sunny with the chance for an afternoon shower and a high of 39.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 28.
Sunday: Partly sunny with a passing shower and a high of 41.
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 27.
Monday: Partly sunny. Highs 39-42, lows 27-30.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny during the day, with cloudy skies and snow showers in the evening. Highs 40-43, lows 27-30.
Wednesday: Snow showers end in the early morning and becoming mostly sunny by the afternoon. Highs 39-42, lows 25-28.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-41, lows 27-30.